Azure vs AWS: who is winning AI workloads in 2025

TL;DR:
- AWS leads overall cloud share, per Canalys and Synergy.
- Azure is growing faster and wins marquee AI ties like OpenAI.
- AWS offers the broadest model menu on Bedrock and custom chips.
- Azure leans on OpenAI, adds Mistral and more in its model catalog.
- Your winner depends on workload, data gravity, and tooling
Who is winning depends on what you measure. By revenue share, AWS leads. By AI headline workloads and Microsoft 365 integration, Azure has an edge. Growth favors Azure.
- Market share. Canalys pegs AWS at roughly one-third of the market in early 2025, with Azure in the low-20s and growing faster. Synergy Research shows a similar pattern.
- Growth. Canalys notes Azure and Google Cloud grew above 30 percent year over year in Q2 2025, while AWS grew about 17 percent.
- Customer momentum. ETR survey data shows stronger spending velocity for Azure than AWS in July 2025. Treat surveys as sentiment, not revenue.
Model catalogs and ecosystems
AWS Bedrock
Bedrock supplies a large model menu through one API, including Anthropic Claude, Meta Llama, Mistral, AI21, Cohere, Amazon Nova and Titan, and more. This favors teams that want several providers with one contract and governance model.
Azure AI Foundry and Azure OpenAI
Azure features OpenAI models through Azure OpenAI and a broad catalog that includes models from Mistral, Meta, Cohere, and others. Microsoft also offers its own small models such as Phi. The catalog approach helps when you want OpenAI plus alternates in one portal.
What’s changing now. On September 11, 2025, OpenAI and Microsoft signed a new MOU to shape the next phase of their partnership. Final terms are pending, so watch for any hosting or exclusivity shifts that could change where the largest training runs land.
Chips and performance
AWS
AWS fields first-party silicon for AI. Trainium2 is generally available and aims for better price-performance than prior GPU instances. AWS also advanced agentic tooling in Bedrock and Q. This mix can lower unit costs at scale.
Azure
Azure leans on NVIDIA’s latest parts and shows benchmark gains with large H200 clusters in MLPerf, plus expanding Grace Blackwell support. For many teams, the question is not peak speed alone, but when capacity is available in your region.
Signature workloads
- OpenAI on Azure. Microsoft says OpenAI’s API runs on Azure and is also available through Azure OpenAI Service. That has pulled high-end training and inference onto Azure. The new MOU could adjust these lines, so track the definitive agreement.
- Anthropic on AWS. AWS positions Claude as a flagship Bedrock model and highlights growing agent features. Many enterprises standardize on Claude for long-context tasks and safety features.
Where each wins today
Azure advantages
- Tight tie-ins to Microsoft 365, Teams, SharePoint, and Power Platform.
- Easy path to ship Copilot features to Office users and secure them with Entra ID and Purview.
- Access to OpenAI models in the same cloud that hosts your Microsoft data.
AWS advantages
- Breadth of models in Bedrock, plus managed agents and guardrails.
- Custom silicon that can cut training and inference costs at scale.
- Deep ecosystem in data lakes, eventing, and serverless that many AI apps need.
Decision guide: pick by workload, not headlines
Use this quick table to decide.
What to watch next
- Definitive Microsoft–OpenAI terms. Hosting rights and model access could move workloads.
- GPU and Trainium supply. Capacity dictates where training lands this quarter.
- Market share updates. Track Canalys and Synergy into Q3 and Q4 2025.
Why it matters
If you measure by total cloud revenue, AWS is still on top. If you measure by Microsoft 365 integration and OpenAI alignment, Azure has a real edge. Most companies will be multicloud for AI to balance price, speed, and model choice.
Sources:
- Canalys, Global cloud infrastructure spending Q1–Q2 2025, https://canalys.com/newsroom/global-cloud-q1-2025, 2025-05-13 and https://www.lightreading.com/cloud/global-cloud-infrastructure-spending-rose-22-in-q2-2025-canalys, 2025-09-08
- Synergy Research Group, Q2 2025 cloud market near $100B, https://www.srgresearch.com/articles/q2-cloud-market-nears-100-billion-milestone-and-its-still-growing-by-25-year-over-year, 2025-07-31
- SiliconANGLE, ETR survey shows Azure spending momentum, https://siliconangle.com/2025/08/09/cloud-quarterly-azures-ai-pop-aws-supply-pinch-googles-execution/, 2025-08-09
- AWS, Bedrock model roster and Claude availability, https://docs.aws.amazon.com/bedrock/latest/userguide/models-supported.html and https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/aws/amazon-bedrock-anthropic-ai-claude-3, accessed 2025-09-12
- Microsoft, Azure AI model catalog and OpenAI service positioning, https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/products/ai-foundry/models and https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/investor/events/fy-2025/earnings-fy-2025-q4, accessed 2025-09-12
- Microsoft, MLPerf H200 scaling blog, https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/blog/microsoft-and-nvidia-accelerate-ai-development-and-performance/, 2025-03-18
- NVIDIA, Blackwell platform overview, https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-blackwell-platform-arrives-to-power-a-new-era-of-computing, 2024-03-18
- AWS, re:Invent 2024 highlights including Trainium2, https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/aws/aws-reinvent-2024-keynote-live-news-updates, 2024-12-06
- Microsoft + OpenAI, Joint MOU statement, https://openai.com/index/joint-statement-from-openai-and-microsoft/, 2025-09-11